Daily Murders in the nation Drop Thirty-Seven Percent In President Sheinbaum, Per Official Statistics

The average figure of per-day killings each month in the country has decreased by 37% since President Claudia Sheinbaum took office, as stated by fresh government figures. However, security specialists have warned that homicide figures could fail to indicate enhanced countrywide stability.

Marked Decline in Per-Day Numbers

There was an mean of almost 55 murders a day in the month of November versus nearly 87 when Claudia Sheinbaum began the presidential office in September. This announcement was delivered by the chief of the country’s federal public security agency, Marcela Figueroa Franco, during the president’s regular press briefing on a recent Tuesday.

“The figures in homicides that we’ve had over these past months is extremely significant,” the President stated, explaining that in November the lowest figure of murders were recorded for any single November in the last decade.

Historical Background and Official Strategy

Violent drug cartel internal conflicts, coupled with the government’s heavily militarised campaigns to combat the drug gangs, have led to Mexico’s murder rate rise sharply in recent times. The rate hit a peak of 36,773 homicides in 2020, according to the nation's national statistics office.

That meant Mexico a homicide rate over four times greater than the US. From that point, killings have been on the decline, declining to 33,550 the previous year. The President has credited her public safety approach for an apparently steeper drop in homicides in the current year.

At a press conference in the summer, the President said: “There is a plan, there is tracking of the plan, and there is specific monitoring municipality by municipality in certain cases. The approach functions. And we have to keep working at it daily.”

The main elements of the President's security strategy encompass:

• Strengthening Mexico’s national guard.
• Improving intelligence and investigation efforts.
• Increased collaboration between various departments.

Analyst Skepticism and Data Concerns

However, security experts cautioned that focusing solely on murder data to assess the situation of peace was misleading. This is particularly true in light of the increase in different crimes such as abductions.

“It would be very good news if this was a reduction, but I think we shouldn't just concentrate on the homicide data and think: ‘Alright, excellent,’” commented Cecilia Farfán-Méndez, an specialist on Mexico's criminal organizations. “I would be cautiously positive.”

Per the public policy analysis organization Mexico Evalúa, killings overall fell by more than 20% in the initial 10 months of the current year compared with the same period last year. But, missing persons cases have gone up by 15% and in certain regions have surged by up to 200%.

“Data on murders is not valid for estimating the reality of insecurity,” stated Armando Vargas, a security analyst at Mexico Evalúa. “Firstly, we have law enforcement and investigators who do not have the ability or the inclination to properly recognize and classify bodies. Second, organised [criminals] … have the capability to hide violent acts through disappearances.”

Vargas noted that using month-to-month averages of everyday killings was similarly problematic because it could obscure days when there were especially elevated numbers of murders.

“Employing the per-day average renders high peaks of violent crime unseen,” he stated.

Detentions and Confiscations as Measures of Progress

An area where the administration can highlight the success of its security plan is on detentions and confiscations. Close to 40,000 people were arrested between last October and November 2025 for major offenses, per official data. Over 20,000 firearms were taken and 311 tonnes of drugs seized.

“Trump cannot accuse President Sheinbaum of doing nothing, because the reality is she is doing a lot with these many thousands of arrests, many thousands of seizures, and all the operational degrading of criminal groups. It’s highly politically profitable,” stated Vargas.

Persistent Violence and Societal Anger

However notwithstanding these actions, Mexico is still beset by extreme bloodshed, with multiple regions in the midst of cartel-related conflict. Last month there was a notable killing of a popular mayor in the region of Michoacan, among 10 local leaders murdered in the past 12 months.

A short time later, thousands of youth protested in Mexico City and across the country to show their outrage at corruption and cartel violence.

“The government presents [data] in a manner to create a picture of safety. From a political standpoint it’s highly potent, socially it’s highly questionable,” the analyst concluded.